John Tavares vs Kevin Stenlund

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.0%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 17 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Tavares 54.4% vs Stenlund 53.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor Tavares leads 25-15 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone Tavares 85.0%
Defensive zone Stenlund 78.1%
Neutral zone Tavares 56.5%
Result John Tavares favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Tavares Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
25 - 15 (40 meetings)
25
15
Tavares Stenlund
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Stenlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
17
0
Tavares Stenlund
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
12
Tavares Stenlund
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
3
Tavares Stenlund
10 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Tavares
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
55.3% (2,738)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
52.6% (116)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
50.4% (924)
+0.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +3.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Tavares shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stenlund
Home
56.1% (10,525)
54.3% (1,873)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
53.8% (1,905)
By Period
Tavares
Stenlund
P1
55.0%
56.2%
P2
54.1%
53.3%
P3
54.0%
53.0%
OT
55.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%
54.0%
54.4%
Stenlund
56.0%
59.0%
54.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 13, 2026 2 14:01 Offensive John Tavares
Jan 13, 2026 2 09:44 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Jan 13, 2026 2 06:26 Offensive John Tavares
Jan 13, 2026 1 17:55 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Jan 13, 2026 1 13:13 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Nov 5, 2025 3 17:48 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Nov 5, 2025 3 08:06 Neutral John Tavares
Nov 5, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Nov 5, 2025 1 07:47 Neutral John Tavares
Nov 5, 2025 1 01:55 Offensive John Tavares
Mar 10, 2025 3 19:10 Offensive John Tavares
Mar 10, 2025 3 00:18 Neutral John Tavares
Mar 10, 2025 2 19:06 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Mar 10, 2025 1 18:18 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Mar 10, 2025 1 17:17 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Mar 10, 2025 1 11:44 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Nov 24, 2024 2 13:17 Neutral John Tavares
Nov 24, 2024 2 09:10 Offensive John Tavares
Nov 24, 2024 2 06:10 Offensive John Tavares
Nov 24, 2024 1 17:48 Neutral John Tavares