Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +18.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Dauphin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Dauphin 44.4% (+18.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 94.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 70.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 88.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Tavares
Dauphin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Tavares
Dauphin
Last 7: Tavares 6-1 Dauphin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Dauphin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Dauphin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Dauphin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Dauphin
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
43.0% (214)
+17.9%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
55.6% (9)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
29.2% (24)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dauphin shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Dauphin is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Tavares
Dauphin
Home
63.5% (684)
47.2% (125)
Away
57.6% (658)
36.9% (122)
By Period
Tavares
Dauphin
P1
60.3%
42.0%
P2
60.4%
42.3%
P3
60.1%
43.0%
OT
92.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.6%
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Laurent Dauphin |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |