Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dauphin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Dauphin 52.1% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 69.8%
Defensive zone
Dauphin 74.8%
Neutral zone
Dauphin 50.9%
Result
Laurent Dauphin favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Tavares
Dauphin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Dauphin
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
53.3% (152)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
60.0% (5)
-0.9%
On even strength, Tavares has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dauphin shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Dauphin is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Tavares
Dauphin
Home
61.0% (661)
52.9% (87)
Away
55.3% (584)
54.3% (70)
By Period
Tavares
Dauphin
P1
58.6%
59.0%
P2
57.8%
46.8%
P3
58.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
63.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
53.5%