John Tavares vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Celebrini 48.7% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 58.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Tavares
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
47.8% (993)
+9.9%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
54.1% (111)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
56.0% (25)
-3.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Tavares
Celebrini
Home
57.4% (636)
48.5% (538)
Away
57.2% (612)
48.7% (591)
By Period
Tavares
Celebrini
P1
57.5%
48.1%
P2
56.9%
46.8%
P3
57.5%
51.0%
OT
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | OT | 01:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |