John Tavares vs Macklin Celebrini
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Celebrini 48.5% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 72.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 86.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Tavares
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Tavares
Celebrini
Last 8: Tavares 6-2 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Celebrini
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Celebrini
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Celebrini
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
47.5% (1,894)
+6.5%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
54.4% (250)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
55.6% (36)
-5.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Tavares shoots left. Celebrini is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,486).
Home / Away
Tavares
Celebrini
Home
56.1% (10,525)
48.0% (1,091)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
48.9% (1,089)
By Period
Tavares
Celebrini
P1
55.0%
47.4%
P2
54.1%
46.6%
P3
54.0%
51.4%
OT
55.9%
47.4%
Final 5 min
54.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | OT | 01:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2025 | OT | 01:25 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |