Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs McTavish 49.1% (+8.3%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 54.4%
Defensive zone
McTavish 51.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 52.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Tavares
McTavish
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
47.6% (618)
+10.1%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
58.3% (103)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
33.3% (6)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Tavares
McTavish
Home
57.4% (636)
52.2% (391)
Away
57.2% (612)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Tavares
McTavish
P1
57.5%
50.2%
P2
56.9%
47.7%
P3
57.5%
49.2%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%