Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs McCarron 52.8% (+6.1%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 77.1%
Neutral zone
McCarron 57.3%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Tavares
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
54.5% (618)
+4.7%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
42.1% (19)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
35.3% (34)
+7.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Tavares shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Tavares
McCarron
Home
57.5% (668)
52.2% (339)
Away
61.1% (684)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Tavares
McCarron
P1
58.0%
53.5%
P2
60.1%
50.6%
P3
61.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
60.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
59.3%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
53.2%