John Tavares vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs McCarron 52.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 89.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 61.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Tavares
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Tavares
McCarron
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
0
Tavares
McCarron
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
13
Tavares
McCarron
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Tavares
McCarron
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
53.3% (2,926)
+0.7%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
45.3% (86)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
50.1% (469)
+0.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Tavares shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Tavares
McCarron
Home
56.1% (10,525)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Tavares
McCarron
P1
55.0%
53.8%
P2
54.1%
52.3%
P3
54.0%
51.9%
OT
55.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |