John Tavares vs Mika Zibanejad

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

John Tavares holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Tavares 56.8% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor Zibanejad leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone Tavares 54.9%
Defensive zone Zibanejad 79.2%
Neutral zone Zibanejad 58.2%
Result Mika Zibanejad favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Tavares Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 7 (12 meetings)
5
7
Tavares Zibanejad
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Zibanejad

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
4
Tavares Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares Zibanejad
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Tavares
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
53.3% (807)
+4.4%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
47.6% (42)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
46.3% (147)
+5.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +8.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Tavares
Zibanejad
Home
57.4% (636)
49.8% (466)
Away
57.2% (612)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Tavares
Zibanejad
P1
57.5%
52.9%
P2
56.9%
51.2%
P3
57.5%
51.7%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%
54.0%
57.3%
Zibanejad
58.0%
53.0%
52.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 25, 2026 3 13:28 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Mar 25, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral John Tavares
Mar 25, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral John Tavares
Mar 25, 2026 1 11:06 Defensive John Tavares
Mar 25, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Mar 5, 2026 3 14:09 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Mar 5, 2026 2 05:15 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Mar 5, 2026 1 15:34 Offensive John Tavares
Oct 16, 2025 3 19:03 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Oct 16, 2025 3 03:52 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Oct 16, 2025 1 10:00 Offensive John Tavares
Oct 16, 2025 1 04:20 Defensive Mika Zibanejad