Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Granlund 47.0% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 54.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 78.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Tavares
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Tavares
Granlund
Last 8: Tavares 5-3 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Granlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
46.7% (885)
+12.5%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
44.9% (69)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
49.0% (98)
-6.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Tavares
Granlund
Home
57.5% (668)
51.1% (495)
Away
61.1% (684)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Tavares
Granlund
P1
58.0%
49.9%
P2
60.1%
46.4%
P3
61.0%
44.3%
OT
27.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |