Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Granlund 49.5% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 70.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 53.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 64.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Tavares
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Tavares
Granlund
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
3
Tavares
Granlund
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
3
Tavares
Granlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
49.7% (493)
+8.0%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
58.6% (111)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
31.1% (61)
+21.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Tavares
Granlund
Home
57.4% (636)
54.7% (276)
Away
57.2% (612)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Tavares
Granlund
P1
57.5%
52.2%
P2
56.9%
49.3%
P3
57.5%
47.4%
OT
57.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |