Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Geekie 47.3% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 69.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 86.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 82.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Tavares
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tavares
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Tavares
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
45.7% (352)
+12.0%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
63.2% (19)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
33.3% (3)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Tavares
Geekie
Home
59.7% (610)
48.5% (165)
Away
57.0% (698)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Tavares
Geekie
P1
57.2%
48.5%
P2
58.5%
45.1%
P3
59.4%
45.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | John Tavares |