Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Geekie 47.7% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 58.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 72.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Tavares
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Tavares
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
46.7% (120)
+11.0%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
48.6% (35)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
0.0% (3)
+52.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Geekie is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Tavares
Geekie
Home
57.4% (636)
46.8% (77)
Away
57.2% (612)
45.7% (81)
By Period
Tavares
Geekie
P1
57.5%
42.4%
P2
56.9%
49.1%
P3
57.5%
47.6%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
35.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |