Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Hischier 55.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 50.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 68.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Tavares
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Tavares
Hischier
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
5
Tavares
Hischier
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
4
Tavares
Hischier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
55.5% (1,172)
+2.2%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
64.5% (265)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
43.9% (164)
+8.3%
On power play, Hischier has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hischier
Home
57.4% (636)
56.8% (791)
Away
57.2% (612)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Tavares
Hischier
P1
57.5%
56.0%
P2
56.9%
58.6%
P3
57.5%
53.5%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |