Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.8% vs Hischier 54.8% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 57.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 71.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 56.1%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Tavares
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Tavares
Hischier
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
Tavares
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
4
Tavares
Hischier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
Tavares
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (691)
54.7% (887)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.2% (173)
66.5% (194)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
38.9% (108)
+24.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tavares is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Tavares shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hischier
Home
58.0% (500)
56.6% (537)
Away
59.7% (375)
54.0% (652)
By Period
Tavares
Hischier
P1
59.5%
55.2%
P2
58.5%
57.2%
P3
58.2%
54.2%
OT
60.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |