Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 43 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Hischier 52.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 68-50 in 118 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 67.2%
Defensive zone
Hischier 63.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Tavares
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
68
-
50
(118 meetings)
68
50
Tavares
Hischier
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
28
15
Tavares
Hischier
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
16
22
Tavares
Hischier
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
24
13
Tavares
Hischier
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
51.6% (8,444)
+2.4%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
59.9% (1,749)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
49.3% (918)
+1.2%
On power play, Hischier has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Tavares shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hischier
Home
56.1% (10,525)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
Tavares
Hischier
P1
55.0%
52.9%
P2
54.1%
52.6%
P3
54.0%
52.7%
OT
55.9%
50.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | John Tavares |