Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Tavares wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.8% vs Zacha 51.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Tavares
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Tavares
Zacha
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
0
Tavares
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Tavares
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Tavares
Zacha
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (691)
53.7% (497)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.2% (173)
54.8% (84)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
37.5% (64)
+26.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Tavares is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Tavares shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Tavares
Zacha
Home
58.0% (500)
51.0% (335)
Away
59.7% (375)
53.5% (310)
By Period
Tavares
Zacha
P1
59.5%
60.0%
P2
58.5%
48.1%
P3
58.2%
48.8%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |