Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 28 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Zacha 49.2% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 57-35 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 94.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 76.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 89.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Tavares
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
35
(92 meetings)
57
35
Tavares
Zacha
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
21
7
Tavares
Zacha
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
12
15
Tavares
Zacha
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
24
13
Tavares
Zacha
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
48.9% (5,156)
+5.1%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
55.7% (813)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
42.2% (557)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Tavares shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Tavares
Zacha
Home
56.1% (10,525)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Tavares
Zacha
P1
55.0%
49.9%
P2
54.1%
49.2%
P3
54.0%
48.2%
OT
55.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |