Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Colton 49.2% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 69.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 60.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 74.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Tavares
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
47.3% (91)
+10.4%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
71.4% (7)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
0.0% (1)
+52.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Colton is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Tavares
Colton
Home
57.4% (636)
46.9% (49)
Away
57.2% (612)
50.0% (50)
By Period
Tavares
Colton
P1
57.5%
56.4%
P2
56.9%
47.1%
P3
57.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |