John Tavares vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 26 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 46-17 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 98.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 86.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 96.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 95.0%
95.0%
5.0%
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
17
(63 meetings)
46
17
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Tavares 9-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
20
6
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
11
3
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
15
8
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (15,885)
44.9% (8,714)
+9.1%
Power Play
56.5% (4,221)
50.3% (829)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (612)
37.8% (875)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Tavares shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.1% (10,389)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
52.7% (10,358)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.1%
45.1%
P2
54.1%
43.8%
P3
54.0%
45.2%
OT
56.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |