Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Lafferty 50.0% (+7.3%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 55.3%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 61.7%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 54.6%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Tavares
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
50.0% (46)
+7.7%
On even strength, Tavares has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Lafferty is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lafferty
Home
57.4% (636)
47.8% (23)
Away
57.2% (612)
52.2% (23)
By Period
Tavares
Lafferty
P1
57.5%
53.3%
P2
56.9%
55.6%
P3
57.5%
42.9%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%