Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Lafferty 47.5% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 95.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 82.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Tavares
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Tavares
Lafferty
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
10
0
Tavares
Lafferty
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
6
Tavares
Lafferty
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
2
Tavares
Lafferty
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
47.9% (1,417)
+6.1%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
45.7% (46)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
43.5% (184)
+7.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Tavares shoots left. Lafferty is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lafferty
Home
56.1% (10,525)
47.3% (833)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Tavares
Lafferty
P1
55.0%
49.4%
P2
54.1%
43.1%
P3
54.0%
49.6%
OT
55.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 11:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 10:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |