Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.2% vs 56.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.7% vs Stamkos 55.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 54.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 50.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Tavares
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tavares
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Tavares
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (956)
57.1% (368)
+0.6%
Power Play
55.7% (244)
55.2% (96)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
50.0% (10)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stamkos
Home
57.4% (636)
53.9% (230)
Away
57.1% (587)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Tavares
Stamkos
P1
57.1%
56.7%
P2
57.0%
54.1%
P3
57.6%
59.2%
OT
57.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.6%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
57.2%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |