Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.7% vs Blueger 47.4% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.3%
Defensive zone
Blueger 80.0%
Neutral zone
Blueger 57.0%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Tavares
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tavares
Blueger
Last 5: Tavares 2-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Tavares
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Tavares
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (956)
48.2% (253)
+9.5%
Power Play
55.7% (244)
66.7% (9)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
34.7% (49)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Tavares shoots left. Blueger is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Tavares
Blueger
Home
57.4% (636)
49.8% (215)
Away
57.1% (587)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Tavares
Blueger
P1
57.1%
45.8%
P2
57.0%
50.4%
P3
57.6%
42.2%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
57.2%
Blueger
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |