Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 30 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Blueger 50.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 29-21 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 93.9%
Defensive zone
Blueger 64.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 65.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Tavares
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
21
(50 meetings)
29
21
Tavares
Blueger
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
24
6
Tavares
Blueger
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
13
Tavares
Blueger
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Blueger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
52.2% (3,582)
+1.8%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
50.6% (77)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
42.7% (1,103)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Tavares shoots left. Blueger is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,231).
Home / Away
Tavares
Blueger
Home
56.1% (10,525)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Tavares
Blueger
P1
55.0%
49.2%
P2
54.1%
52.2%
P3
54.0%
48.6%
OT
55.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |