Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Blueger 48.1% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.2%
Defensive zone
Blueger 80.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 58.5%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Tavares
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tavares
Blueger
Last 5: Tavares 2-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Tavares
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Tavares
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
49.4% (265)
+8.3%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
66.7% (9)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
34.0% (50)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Tavares
Blueger
Home
57.4% (636)
49.8% (215)
Away
57.2% (612)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Tavares
Blueger
P1
57.5%
46.4%
P2
56.9%
50.4%
P3
57.5%
44.8%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |