Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Stützle 52.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 70.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 71.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Tavares
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tavares
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
52.7% (501)
+5.0%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
54.2% (59)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
56.3% (32)
-4.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stützle
Home
57.4% (636)
51.9% (285)
Away
57.2% (612)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Tavares
Stützle
P1
57.5%
51.6%
P2
56.9%
55.4%
P3
57.5%
52.2%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |