Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Stützle 45.7% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 30-7 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 97.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 82.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 95.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Tavares
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
7
(37 meetings)
30
7
Tavares
Stützle
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
12
3
Tavares
Stützle
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
12
2
Tavares
Stützle
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
2
Tavares
Stützle
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
45.1% (2,308)
+8.9%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
54.9% (102)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
47.7% (88)
+2.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Tavares shoots left. Stützle is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,500).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stützle
Home
56.1% (10,525)
47.5% (1,285)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
43.4% (1,213)
By Period
Tavares
Stützle
P1
55.0%
47.0%
P2
54.1%
45.3%
P3
54.0%
44.2%
OT
55.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |