Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Lewis 44.3% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 94.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 74.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 92.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 94.1%
94.1%
5.9%
Tavares
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Tavares
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
41.8% (251)
+15.7%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
45.5% (11)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
44.7% (47)
+14.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Lewis is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lewis
Home
61.0% (661)
39.2% (166)
Away
55.3% (584)
46.2% (143)
By Period
Tavares
Lewis
P1
58.6%
45.2%
P2
57.8%
43.8%
P3
58.4%
37.8%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.4%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |