Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Lewis 44.4% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Tavares
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Tavares
Lewis
Last 7: Tavares 3-4 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
4
Tavares
Lewis
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
45.7% (210)
+13.5%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
71.4% (7)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
33.7% (95)
+9.2%
On even strength, Tavares has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Tavares shoots left. Lewis is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lewis
Home
57.5% (668)
48.8% (166)
Away
61.1% (684)
35.6% (146)
By Period
Tavares
Lewis
P1
58.0%
37.9%
P2
60.1%
46.7%
P3
61.0%
42.7%
Final 5 min
60.7%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |