Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Seguin 52.5% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 72.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Tavares
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
53.2% (201)
+4.5%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
60.0% (25)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
44.4% (9)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Tavares
Seguin
Home
57.4% (636)
56.3% (126)
Away
57.2% (612)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Tavares
Seguin
P1
57.5%
44.3%
P2
56.9%
52.1%
P3
57.5%
62.5%
OT
57.1%
80.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%