Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.6%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Seguin 53.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 41-33 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 72.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 66.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Tavares
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
33
(74 meetings)
41
33
Tavares
Seguin
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
23
6
Tavares
Seguin
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
9
21
Tavares
Seguin
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
9
6
Tavares
Seguin
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (15,885)
53.7% (8,071)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.5% (4,221)
55.9% (810)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (612)
49.3% (762)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Tavares is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (7,429).
Tavares shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Tavares
Seguin
Home
56.1% (10,389)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
52.7% (10,358)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Tavares
Seguin
P1
55.1%
52.8%
P2
54.1%
53.3%
P3
54.0%
54.7%
OT
56.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 18:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |