Jonathan Marchessault vs Jordan Staal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 46.7% vs Staal 54.6% (-17.1%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 64.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Marchessault
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (34)
56.2% (989)
-20.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
66.0% (159)
+0.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Marchessault is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Marchessault shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Staal
Home
40.0% (25)
55.4% (699)
Away
33.3% (12)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Marchessault
Staal
P1
50.0%
55.7%
P2
30.8%
54.7%
P3
22.2%
53.4%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
12.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
37.8%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%