Jonathan Marchessault vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Marchessault wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 42.3% vs Staal 55.3% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Marchessault 95.2%
Defensive zone
Marchessault 65.5%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 91.3%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Marchessault
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
12
(14 meetings)
2
12
Marchessault
Staal
Last 10: Marchessault 1-9 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
2
1
Marchessault
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
6
Marchessault
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
5
Marchessault
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (1,441)
55.9% (14,654)
-14.5%
Power Play
44.3% (264)
62.7% (1,762)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
47.9% (2,907)
-3.5%
On power play, Staal has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Marchessault is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,122).
Marchessault shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Staal
Home
42.6% (892)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
41.0% (822)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Marchessault
Staal
P1
43.3%
55.2%
P2
42.2%
55.9%
P3
39.9%
54.8%
OT
42.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
43.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
41.8%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2017 | OT | 01:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |