Jonathan Marchessault vs Tage Thompson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 46.7% vs Thompson 45.2% (-6.8%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 56.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 68.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Marchessault
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (34)
44.6% (661)
-9.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
48.4% (95)
+18.3%
On power play, Marchessault has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Marchessault is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Marchessault shoots right. Thompson is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Thompson
Home
40.0% (25)
45.7% (411)
Away
33.3% (12)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Marchessault
Thompson
P1
50.0%
47.7%
P2
30.8%
45.7%
P3
22.2%
40.5%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
12.5%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
37.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%