Jonathan Marchessault vs Tage Thompson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.8% vs 42.6%). Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Marchessault wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 42.3% vs Thompson 42.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 75.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 81.4%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 50.3%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Marchessault
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Marchessault
Thompson
Last 8: Marchessault 3-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
3
1
Marchessault
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Marchessault
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Marchessault
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (1,441)
42.9% (3,540)
-1.5%
Power Play
44.3% (264)
46.9% (373)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
33.6% (265)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Marchessault has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Marchessault is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (592).
Marchessault shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,149).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Thompson
Home
42.6% (892)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
41.0% (822)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Marchessault
Thompson
P1
43.3%
44.4%
P2
42.2%
43.7%
P3
39.9%
40.0%
OT
42.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
43.5%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
41.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |