Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Toews 58.4% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 64.1%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 72.2%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 62.8%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Jarnkrok
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Jarnkrok
Toews
Last 10: Jarnkrok 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
6
Jarnkrok
Toews
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
4
Jarnkrok
Toews
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
58.0% (901)
-6.2%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
69.5% (226)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
51.7% (209)
-8.2%
On power play, Toews has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Toews
Home
53.0% (281)
59.3% (637)
Away
48.4% (186)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Toews
P1
51.6%
61.5%
P2
50.6%
55.2%
P3
51.5%
60.0%
OT
50.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |