Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lucic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 59.0% vs Lucic 49.6% (+11.3%)
Offensive zone
Toews 57.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 61.9%
Neutral zone
Lucic 51.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Toews
Lucic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (736)
33.3% (24)
+24.0%
Power Play
71.4% (133)
81.8% (11)
-10.4%
On even strength, Toews has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. Toews is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Toews shoots left. Lucic is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Toews
Lucic
Home
61.0% (479)
55.0% (20)
Away
58.8% (454)
40.0% (15)
By Period
Toews
Lucic
P1
61.3%
54.5%
P2
57.9%
35.7%
P3
59.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.1%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
59.9%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%