Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lucic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Lucic 51.5% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Lucic 61.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 68.5%
Neutral zone
Lucic 51.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Toews
Lucic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
57.1% (28)
+0.9%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
50.0% (6)
+19.5%
On power play, Toews has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Lucic is 76.5% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Toews
Lucic
Home
59.3% (637)
57.1% (14)
Away
58.7% (699)
55.0% (20)
By Period
Toews
Lucic
P1
61.5%
61.1%
P2
55.2%
44.4%
P3
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.9%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
59.0%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
55.9%