Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +19.5% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lucic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Lucic 48.2% (+19.5%)
Offensive zone
Lucic 53.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 63.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 51.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Toews
Lucic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
44.7% (38)
+16.4%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
0.0% (1)
+71.9%
On power play, Toews has a +71.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Lucic is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Toews
Lucic
Home
64.8% (560)
48.3% (29)
Away
60.6% (381)
30.0% (10)
By Period
Toews
Lucic
P1
62.3%
53.3%
P2
63.9%
41.2%
P3
62.8%
28.6%
Final 5 min
60.9%
22.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
63.1%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
43.6%