Jonathan Toews vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 64.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 73.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 70.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Toews
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Toews
MacKinnon
Last 7: Toews 4-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
45.8% (755)
+12.2%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
48.3% (60)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
27.6% (29)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Toews
MacKinnon
Home
59.3% (637)
49.5% (396)
Away
58.7% (699)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Toews
MacKinnon
P1
61.5%
50.2%
P2
55.2%
43.8%
P3
60.0%
41.4%
OT
70.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.9%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
59.0%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |