Jonathan Toews vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 71 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 111-66 in 177 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 96.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 94.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 96.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 96.0%
96.0%
4.0%
Toews
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
111
-
66
(177 meetings)
111
66
Toews
MacKinnon
Last 10: Toews 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
34
21
Toews
MacKinnon
55 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
28
23
Toews
MacKinnon
51 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
49
22
Toews
MacKinnon
71 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
46.1% (11,255)
+11.1%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
53.2% (1,418)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
42.8% (502)
+10.8%
On even strength, Toews has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,498).
Toews shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,527).
Home / Away
Toews
MacKinnon
Home
59.7% (9,212)
49.7% (6,459)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Toews
MacKinnon
P1
58.6%
47.4%
P2
57.9%
46.6%
P3
57.3%
46.1%
OT
58.9%
48.4%
Final 5 min
58.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |