Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Hischier 53.6% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 61.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 65.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 65.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Toews
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Toews
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
52.4% (1,185)
+8.7%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
57.8% (315)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
57.1% (154)
+2.5%
On power play, Toews has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Toews
Hischier
Home
64.8% (560)
53.4% (844)
Away
60.6% (381)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Toews
Hischier
P1
62.3%
49.7%
P2
63.9%
54.6%
P3
62.8%
56.1%
OT
70.0%
65.5%
Final 5 min
60.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
63.1%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |