Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Hischier 55.4% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 66.2%
Defensive zone
Hischier 51.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 64.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Toews
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Toews
Hischier
Last 7: Toews 4-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Toews
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
55.5% (1,172)
+7.1%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
64.5% (265)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
43.9% (164)
+3.0%
On even strength, Toews has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Toews shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
Toews
Hischier
Home
61.1% (455)
56.8% (791)
Away
62.1% (448)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Toews
Hischier
P1
59.7%
56.0%
P2
66.7%
58.6%
P3
58.4%
53.5%
OT
80.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |