Jonathan Toews vs Oliver Kapanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Kapanen 46.8% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 94.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 93.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 94.4%
94.4%
5.6%
Toews
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Kapanen
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
1
Toews
Kapanen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
46.3% (572)
+10.9%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
50.9% (53)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
39.5% (38)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,498).
Toews shoots left. Kapanen is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Toews
Kapanen
Home
59.7% (9,212)
46.3% (348)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
46.3% (315)
By Period
Toews
Kapanen
P1
58.6%
41.7%
P2
57.9%
49.6%
P3
57.3%
47.5%
OT
58.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |