Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Krebs 45.4% (+17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 91.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 69.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 89.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Toews
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Toews
Krebs
Last 9: Toews 6-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
2
Toews
Krebs
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Toews
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
44.4% (403)
+18.2%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
33.3% (6)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
45.0% (20)
+1.9%
On power play, Toews has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Toews shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Toews
Krebs
Home
61.1% (455)
46.3% (205)
Away
62.1% (448)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Toews
Krebs
P1
59.7%
47.0%
P2
66.7%
45.4%
P3
58.4%
40.7%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |