Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Krebs 45.9% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 64.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 86.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Toews
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Toews
Krebs
Last 9: Toews 6-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
2
Toews
Krebs
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Toews
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
46.0% (2,174)
+11.2%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
52.5% (101)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
38.6% (171)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Toews shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,555).
Home / Away
Toews
Krebs
Home
59.7% (9,212)
45.6% (1,199)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Toews
Krebs
P1
58.6%
45.9%
P2
57.9%
46.5%
P3
57.3%
44.7%
OT
58.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |