Jonathan Toews vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 78.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 75.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 78.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
46.0% (250)
+16.6%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
70.6% (17)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
31.8% (22)
+15.1%
On even strength, Toews has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Toews shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
61.1% (455)
50.3% (175)
Away
62.1% (448)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
59.7%
48.5%
P2
66.7%
45.9%
P3
58.4%
46.5%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |