Jonathan Toews vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 53 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 78-39 in 117 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 98.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 97.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 98.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 98.2%
98.2%
1.8%
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
78
-
39
(117 meetings)
78
39
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Toews 10-0 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
27
12
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
14
11
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
37
16
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
53 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
44.8% (8,775)
+12.4%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
50.6% (844)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
37.8% (880)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Toews shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
59.7% (9,212)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Toews
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
58.6%
45.1%
P2
57.9%
43.9%
P3
57.3%
45.2%
OT
58.9%
43.2%
Final 5 min
58.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 10:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |