Jonathan Toews vs Ryan O'Reilly

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jonathan Toews holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Toews 60.4% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (+6.2%)
H2H factor O'Reilly leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone O'Reilly 55.7%
Defensive zone O'Reilly 64.4%
Neutral zone O'Reilly 60.0%
Result Ryan O'Reilly favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Toews O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 6 (11 meetings)
5
6
Toews O'Reilly
Last 10: Toews 5-5 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Toews O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Toews O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews O'Reilly
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Toews
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
55.7% (856)
+6.9%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
57.5% (233)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
50.0% (144)
-3.1%
On even strength, Toews has a +6.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Toews shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Toews
O'Reilly
Home
61.1% (455)
55.5% (616)
Away
62.1% (448)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Toews
O'Reilly
P1
59.7%
58.1%
P2
66.7%
54.9%
P3
58.4%
53.9%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
56.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%
63.5%
61.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%
55.0%
55.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 17, 2026 3 18:28 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Nov 29, 2025 3 16:09 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 29, 2025 3 15:57 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 29, 2025 3 04:33 Neutral Jonathan Toews
Nov 29, 2025 2 12:18 Neutral Jonathan Toews
Nov 29, 2025 2 08:17 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Nov 29, 2025 2 07:59 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 18, 2025 3 18:11 Defensive Jonathan Toews
Oct 18, 2025 2 11:02 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 18, 2025 2 05:34 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 18, 2025 1 13:06 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly