Jonathan Toews vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 107 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 186-130 in 316 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 62.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 71.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 66.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Toews
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
130
-
186
(316 meetings)
130
186
Toews
O'Reilly
Last 10: Toews 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
61
53
Toews
O'Reilly
114 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
32
75
Toews
O'Reilly
107 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
37
58
Toews
O'Reilly
95 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
56.2% (15,290)
+1.0%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
58.7% (3,457)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
51.4% (2,826)
+2.2%
On power play, Toews has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Toews shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,901).
Home / Away
Toews
O'Reilly
Home
59.7% (9,212)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Toews
O'Reilly
P1
58.6%
55.6%
P2
57.9%
57.0%
P3
57.3%
55.0%
OT
58.9%
62.2%
Final 5 min
58.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |